President William Ruto is set to embark on a high-stakes tour of the Mount Kenya region, a visit that carries significant political weight amid growing dissent and claims of betrayal from some quarters. While his critics argue that his influence in the region is waning, the power of incumbency and strategic maneuvering may still work in his favor.
A key narrative emerging from the region is that Ruto’s involvement in the removal of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has made him persona non grata among the Agikuyu community. The region, known for its political loyalty but also its resistance to betrayal, has been vocal about its discontent. However, betrayal is an intrinsic part of politics, and history suggests that such sentiments may not necessarily translate into political oblivion for Ruto.
The first advantage Ruto holds is the sheer power of incumbency. A sitting president wields immense influence, with access to state resources and a well-structured administrative network. Through regional and county commissioners, MPs, and MCAs loyal to him, Ruto can orchestrate a political spectacle, ensuring that the optics of support remain strong. His strategic use of Sagana Lodge as a political hub could send a clear message: he is still a force to reckon with.
Secondly, financial muscle remains a key determinant in Kenyan politics. The practice of political patronage through financial incentives is not new, and Ruto’s ability to deploy resources effectively could sway local leaders and voters. From Kibaki’s era to Uhuru Kenyatta’s tenure, money has always played a role in political mobilization, and this time will be no different.
Moreover, Ruto does not need to replicate his 2022 landslide in the region to secure re-election. A decent showing in Mount Kenya, coupled with strong support from his Rift Valley base and inroads elsewhere, could be sufficient to guarantee victory. Unlike Raila Odinga, who struggled to gain traction in the region, Ruto’s prior support base gives him an advantage.
Ultimately, his tour is a calculated move to reassert dominance and counter the narrative that he is a one-term president. Whether this will translate into tangible support or remain mere optics is a question only time will answer.
