Kenya is set to experience a mix of rainfall and high temperatures during the week spanning December 24th to December 30th, according to the latest weather forecast by the Kenya Meteorological Department. While several regions brace for extended rains, daytime temperatures exceeding 30°C will dominate, juxtaposed by nighttime temperatures plunging below 10°C.
Rainfall Patterns Across Regions
Rainfall activity will be prevalent in the first half of the forecast period, affecting various parts of the country. Areas expected to receive significant rainfall include:
- Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley
- Lake Victoria Basin
- Central and South Rift Valley
- South-Eastern Lowlands
- The Coast
Showers and thunderstorms are anticipated in the afternoons and nights, reducing in intensity to scattered rains in some areas as the week progresses. Notably, North-Eastern and North-Western Kenya will remain predominantly sunny and dry, with only isolated light showers expected on Wednesday morning.
This rainfall coincides with the cessation of the October–December short rains season. According to Dr. David Gikungu, Director of Meteorological Services, the period between December 16th and December 22nd saw an increase in rainfall across most areas except the Coastal region, which experienced a decline.
Exceptional Rainfall Recorded
Highlighting the recent weather patterns, the highest seven-day rainfall total of 210.8 mm was observed at the Muthesya Rainfall Station in Machakos County. Meanwhile, the Mayori Rainfall Station in Embu County recorded the highest 24-hour rainfall, with a staggering 164.9 mm on December 19th, underscoring the variability of rainfall distribution.
Temperature Trends: A Stark Contrast
Kenya will also grapple with temperature extremes throughout the week. Daytime maximum temperatures are expected to soar above 30°C in several regions, including the Coast, North-Eastern, and North-Western Kenya, as well as parts of the Highlands West of the Rift Valley and the South-Eastern Lowlands.
In stark contrast, nighttime temperatures will drop significantly, with minimums falling below 10°C in some areas. This sharp fluctuation between day and night temperatures underscores the country’s diverse climatic conditions.
Implications for Agriculture and Livelihoods
The continuation of rainfall in key agricultural zones such as the Highlands and Rift Valley is likely to benefit farmers wrapping up the short rains planting season. However, the onset of dry conditions in North-Eastern and North-Western Kenya may signal challenges for pastoralist communities reliant on adequate rainfall for grazing.
Looking Ahead
As Kenya transitions out of the short rains season, Dr. Gikungu emphasized the importance of comparing weather trends to understand rainfall variability. “Comparing the 9–15 December 2024 and the 16–22 December 2024 periods, there was an increase in rainfall over most areas, except the Coastal region,” he noted, signaling a possible shift in weather patterns as the year ends.
Citizens are urged to stay updated with daily forecasts and heed advisories, particularly in areas prone to flooding or extreme weather. Urban centers, already grappling with waterlogging challenges during heavy rains, may face further disruptions this week.
Conclusion
The weather outlook for the final week of December presents a dynamic mix of rainfall and high temperatures, encapsulating Kenya’s climatic diversity. While the rains offer reprieve for agricultural areas, extreme temperature swings demand vigilance and adaptability. As 2024 draws to a close, the country’s weather narrative continues to emphasize the significance of preparedness and resilience in the face of climatic unpredictability.
