As Kenya approaches the 2027 general elections, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) finds itself embroiled in a deepening internal crisis. The party, traditionally united under the leadership of Raila Odinga, is now sharply divided over its political strategy, following the controversial deal that saw five ODM members join President William Ruto’s administration.
This agreement, part of a broader government coalition, has intensified factionalism within the party. One faction, led by ODM’s national chairman Gladys Wanga and National Assembly minority leader Junet Mohammed, supports the idea of backing Ruto’s re-election in 2027, citing the need for political stability and cooperation with the current administration. These leaders have even publicly pledged their loyalty to the president, contradicting the official party stance.
However, hardliners within the party, including ODM Secretary General Edwin Sifuna and Kisumu Governor Anyang’ Nyong’o, are firmly opposed to this approach. They argue that ODM should maintain its independence and field its own candidate for the presidency. Sifuna, in particular, has repeatedly stated that Ruto is unlikely to win the 2027 polls, even with ODM’s support. He has warned that aligning with Ruto could be disastrous for the party, recalling the 2022 Azimio coalition’s failure despite the backing of 26 parties.
The divisions within ODM have led to heated confrontations, with some party lawmakers even calling for the removal of Sifuna, accusing him of cozying up to the Kalonzo-Wamalwa-Gachagua axis. Sifuna, however, has remained steadfast, defending his position and insisting that the party’s future lies in retaining its identity and contesting the presidency in 2027.
This growing rift has left ODM supporters perplexed, as the party struggles to balance its support for Ruto with the desire to assert its own political agenda. Analysts suggest that ODM’s contradictory approach is a calculated strategy aimed at appeasing both the president and the party’s base, as it navigates the complex political landscape.
Raila Odinga’s silence on the matter has only fueled the confusion, with political commentators warning that the longer he remains neutral, the deeper the party’s divisions will become. As the 2027 elections draw near, ODM’s ability to unite its factions and present a coherent strategy will be crucial to its survival in the competitive Kenyan political arena.
