The United States has intensified its diplomatic efforts to “turn down the temperature” in the region. This initiative comes in response to escalating tensions following the recent assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, an act Israel has neither confirmed nor denied responsibility for.
At a UN Security Council meeting on Tuesday, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the US Ambassador to the UN, outlined the US strategy to “deter and defend against any future attack and avoid regional conflict.” This approach is particularly timely as fears mount over potential Iranian retaliation against Israel. The assassination of Haniyeh in July has heightened these fears, with speculations about Iran possibly launching retaliatory strikes.
President Joe Biden has expressed the belief that achieving a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could play a crucial role in deterring Iran from engaging in direct conflict with Israel. “That’s my expectation but we’ll see,” Biden remarked, indicating his hope that diplomacy could prevent further escalation. He emphasized the importance of negotiating a ceasefire deal, which would ideally lead to a reduction in regional hostilities.
A new round of ceasefire negotiations is set to occur in either Doha or Cairo on Thursday. However, these talks face complications as Hamas has reportedly indicated its refusal to participate. This stance complicates the efforts of international mediators from the US, Egypt, and Qatar, who are pushing for an agreement that would include the release of Israeli hostages and the return of Palestinian civilians to their homes.
In a related development, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has postponed his trip to the Middle East to focus on these crucial negotiations. His decision underscores the gravity of the situation and the urgency of finding a diplomatic resolution.
Despite these efforts, the US has also approved a substantial arms shipment worth $20 billion to Israel, a move that has drawn criticism from some quarters. This arms package, which is expected to take years to be fully delivered, reflects the US commitment to supporting Israel’s defense but also raises questions about its potential impact on regional stability.
During the Security Council meeting, Thomas-Greenfield reiterated the need for a swift ceasefire agreement. “A broader regional conflict is not inevitable,” she asserted, calling for an immediate end to hostilities and the finalization of a ceasefire deal. She stressed that achieving this goal is critical to de-escalating tensions and preventing further conflict.
On the other hand, Palestinian Ambassador Riyad Mansour criticized the Security Council for its perceived inaction. He condemned the council’s attempts to mediate while Israel continues its military operations in Gaza, accusing it of failing to address the severe humanitarian crisis unfolding in the region.
The conflict, which began with an unprecedented attack on southern Israel on October 7, has already resulted in substantial casualties. Approximately 1,200 Israelis were killed in the initial assault, with 251 taken hostage. In response, Israel has launched a large-scale military campaign in Gaza, which has resulted in over 39,920 Palestinian deaths according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The violence has also extended to the Israel-Lebanon border, where ongoing exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and Israeli forces have claimed additional lives.
Amid these developments, Iran’s dismissal of calls from Western nations to avoid retaliation further complicates the situation. The US has warned of the possibility of “a significant set of attacks” by Iran or its proxies, and has accordingly bolstered its military presence in the Middle East to support Israel.
As the situation remains fluid, the international community watches closely, hoping that diplomatic efforts will succeed in averting a broader regional conflict and addressing the humanitarian crisis that has emerged from the ongoing violence.