The year 2025 is poised to be a pivotal one for the planet, marked by crucial decisions, new leadership dynamics, and a global push for transformative climate and nature actions. Here are seven key events and their potential impact on our shared future.
A Second Trump Presidency and Global Climate Action
The inauguration of Donald Trump for a second term as President of the United States is likely to influence international climate policies. Trump’s stated intent to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Agreement and potentially from the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) raises significant concerns. However, the global momentum for renewable energy remains strong. Experts like Christiana Figueres, former UN climate chief, emphasize that while Trump’s actions may slow progress, they cannot reverse the ongoing energy transition fueled by market forces and international commitments.
China’s Renewable Energy Expansion
China continues to lead the charge in renewable energy, projecting nearly 60% of the world’s new capacity from 2024 to 2030. Independent of U.S. policies, China’s advancements underscore its pivotal role in achieving global climate targets.
The Inflation Reduction Act’s Legacy
In the U.S., the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) remains a game-changer, funneling billions into clean energy projects. Interestingly, many of these investments benefit Republican-leaning states, creating bipartisan economic incentives to sustain green energy growth despite potential federal roadblocks.
Local Climate Leadership in the U.S.
In the absence of federal climate leadership, U.S. cities and states are stepping up. Vermont is restoring floodplains, Texas is building storm-resilient homes, and other local initiatives aim to strengthen climate resilience and reduce energy costs.
New National Climate Goals in February
By February 2025, nations are required to submit updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. These plans will outline each country’s strategy for reducing emissions and adapting to climate impacts over the next decade. This milestone is critical for accelerating global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C.
Landmark Climate Lawsuits
2025 could witness a groundbreaking court ruling with far-reaching implications for climate lawsuits. Success in such cases may hold governments and corporations accountable for their role in climate change, potentially reshaping policy and business practices worldwide.
UN Climate Summit with a Renewed Focus
The annual UN climate summit will be another key moment, providing a platform for nations to address collective shortcomings and bolster global cooperation. The spotlight will likely focus on balancing immediate economic pressures with long-term environmental goals.
Despite challenges, including political shifts and economic uncertainties, the opportunities in 2025 to advance climate and nature goals are immense. As António Guterres, UN Secretary-General, stated: “We must exit this road to ruin.” Through bold commitments and innovative solutions, 2025 could be a turning point for the planet’s future.
