As Turkana County prepares for the upcoming October, November, and December (OND) short rain season, local authorities and stakeholders have developed a contingency plan aimed at safeguarding communities vulnerable to the region’s unpredictable climatic changes. The plan, spearheaded by the Turkana County Steering Group (CSG) in collaboration with key partners, addresses the challenges posed by anticipated above-normal rainfall.
The OND period, which typically brings much-needed rains to the region, is this year expected to experience near-normal to slightly above-normal rainfall, according to Turkana’s Meteorological Services. This forecast raises concerns about potential flash floods, a risk that Turkana residents, particularly farmers, pastoralists, and traders, cannot afford to ignore. As a result, the contingency plan is designed to support these groups whose livelihoods are directly impacted by rainfall patterns.
Benedict Mukoo, Director of Disaster Risk Management in Turkana County, highlighted the importance of such plans in managing emergencies. She emphasized that climate change and unpredictable weather patterns have made the county’s communities more vulnerable. “A contingency plan will be crucial in safeguarding them in times of crisis. We have a collective responsibility to ensure a coordinated response, and this plan is part of that effort,” Mukoo said.
While the contingency plan is in place, Mukoo acknowledged the persistent challenge of resource allocation, which often hampers the full implementation of such measures. The county, like many other regions, has struggled with securing the necessary funding and resources to properly mitigate the impacts of extreme weather. This makes it difficult to swiftly act when crises arise, leaving gaps in preparedness and response mechanisms. Despite these challenges, Mukoo is optimistic that with proper coordination and stakeholder involvement, the county can make significant strides in disaster preparedness.
Climate Vulnerabilities and Response
The contingency plan is being rolled out in the wake of increasingly unpredictable weather patterns that have devastated Turkana’s agricultural and pastoralist sectors. The region, known for its arid and semi-arid climate, depends heavily on rainfall to sustain livelihoods. However, recent years have seen significant variability in rainfall, leading to cycles of droughts and, at times, intense flooding.
Farmers and pastoralists, who rely heavily on consistent rainfall for crops and grazing land, are particularly at risk. Livestock, the backbone of Turkana’s economy, has faced enormous pressure due to water shortages and dwindling pasturelands. When rains do come, they are often accompanied by flash floods, wiping out infrastructure and rendering the terrain difficult to navigate. Such disruptions severely affect the local economy, with markets, transportation, and trade networks frequently being cut off.
Francis Muinda, Director of Meteorological Services in Turkana, emphasized that the forecast for the OND period aligns with traditional rain pattern readings. He noted that while the rains are expected to be near-normal to slightly above-normal, flash floods remain a real possibility. “The forecast is sufficient to warrant the development of a robust contingency plan,” Muinda stated, underscoring the need for timely action to avoid potential disasters.
Muinda’s department is working closely with the CSG to ensure accurate and timely weather-related information is disseminated to the relevant sectors. By providing real-time updates and engaging local communities, the plan hopes to enable residents to take precautionary measures to protect their assets and livelihoods.
Evidence-Based Disaster Response
A crucial aspect of the contingency plan is its emphasis on evidence-based and timely disaster response. Jacob Ekaran, a representative of the National Drought Management Authority (NDMA), emphasized that the plan will be instrumental in guiding disaster preparedness and response in Turkana. He noted that using reliable data, such as meteorological forecasts and local knowledge, will allow the county to respond more effectively to emergencies.
“The contingency plan aims to guide disaster response through evidence-based and timely information,” Ekaran said, highlighting the importance of integrating both modern meteorological data and traditional knowledge systems. This collaborative effort seeks to bridge gaps in communication and response, ensuring that all relevant stakeholders are aware of the potential risks and are prepared to act swiftly.
The collaborative effort between the Turkana CSG and the Meteorological Department, along with other stakeholders such as the NDMA, represents a coordinated approach to disaster management in the region. The goal is to ensure that the county is prepared to handle the challenges posed by extreme weather, from flash floods to potential droughts that may follow.
Moving Forward
As Turkana faces another challenging short rain season, the contingency plan offers a beacon of hope for the region’s most vulnerable. However, the success of the plan hinges on its timely implementation and the availability of resources. While resource allocation remains a challenge, the collective efforts of stakeholders and communities provide a solid foundation for safeguarding lives and livelihoods during the OND period.
With the looming threat of flash floods, ensuring the safety and resilience of Turkana’s communities is paramount. The plan not only seeks to protect the region in the short term but also aims to build long-term resilience against the increasingly erratic climate patterns shaping the county’s future.
