Aston Villa’s recent struggles have highlighted the immense pressure placed on Ollie Watkins, whose pivotal role in the team’s attacking play has become increasingly evident. In a match that exemplified Villa’s current predicament, their inability to break down Juventus underscored the extent of the burden resting on Watkins’ shoulders.
The game itself offered little to remember, characterized by a lack of urgency and creativity from both sides. Juventus, boasting one of the best defensive records in Europe, relied on a cautious approach, while Villa seemed content to sit back and counter. This tactical standoff resulted in few meaningful chances, with Watkins’ efforts and Lucas Digne’s free-kick hitting the crossbar among the rare moments of note.
Villa’s recent form raises questions about their trajectory. Seven games without a win could be dismissed as a routine mid-season slump for a non-elite team, but it also prompts deeper concerns. Is this a temporary dip, or have the limitations of the current squad been exposed? While their underlying metrics suggest a strong foundation the fourth-best attack and sixth-best defense based on expected goals the results have not aligned with their performances.
The numbers tell a story of fine margins. Missed opportunities and bad luck have played a role in Villa’s winless streak. A missed penalty, late equalizers, and a contentious disallowed goal have cost them valuable points. These instances are frustrating but not indicative of a deeper systemic issue.
Despite this, the team’s reliance on Watkins has grown more apparent. Last season, Douglas Luiz, Moussa Diaby, and Leon Bailey provided significant attacking support, contributing 34 goals between them. Now, with Bailey the sole remaining member of that trio, Villa’s attacking play revolves heavily around Watkins. His share of the team’s expected goals has risen from 29% last season to 35% this season, a statistic that illustrates his centrality to their offensive output.
Opponents have begun to adapt, focusing on neutralizing Watkins and limiting Villa’s attacking options. While Watkins remains a versatile and talented striker capable of thriving under a tactically astute coach, the lack of consistent support has hindered the team’s ability to capitalize on his strengths. The introduction of Jhon Durán brings a different dynamic, but the overall strategy remains reliant on Watkins’ movement and finishing.
To break out of their current slump, Villa must diversify their attacking threats. Greater contributions are needed from the supporting cast, both in terms of goals and creativity. Tactical adjustments could also help unlock opponents’ defenses more effectively, reducing the predictability of their approach. Additionally, addressing lapses in concentration and decision-making could help eliminate the small mistakes that have cost them dearly.
Ultimately, while Villa’s situation is not dire, the challenges they face require careful attention. Watkins cannot shoulder the burden alone, and the team must find ways to distribute the attacking load more evenly. With a solid foundation and a manager known for his tactical acumen, Villa have the tools to navigate this difficult period. But time is of the essence, as the fine margins that have defined their season could continue to work against them if these issues are not addressed promptly.
